29 January 2024 – 3-4 pm CET – PROTECT webinar
Davide Faranda, LSCE-CEA Saclay-IPSL-UVSQ-University Paris Saclay
A framework for attributing extreme events to climate change and evaluating adaptation strategies: the example of Venice Acqua Alta events
We use analogues of atmospheric patterns to investigate changes in four devastating Acqua Alta (flooding) events in the lagoon of Venice associated with intense Mediterranean cyclones occurred in 1966, 2008, 2018 and 2019. Our results provide evidence that changes in atmospheric circulation, although not necessarily only anthropogenically driven, are linked to the severity of these events. We also evaluate the cost and benefit of the MoSE system, which was designed to protect against flooding. Our analysis shows that the MoSE has already provided protection against analogues of the most extreme event, which occurred in 1966. These findings have significant implications for the future of Venice and other coastal cities facing similar challenges from rising sea levels due to extreme events. This study also provides a pathway to evaluate the effectiveness of adaptation in a scenario more frequent and intense extreme events if higher global warming levels will be reached.
16 October 2023 – 2-4 pm CEST
Registration is open for the Antarctic Policy Event Tipping Points in Antarctica: Towards Evidence-Based Policy will take place in Brussels, at the NORCE Norwegian Research Center – Rue Guimard 9, 1000 Brussels on Monday, 16 October from 14h-16h.
The event is co-organized by EU-funded projects TiPACCs, OCEAN:ICE, SO-CHIC, PROTECT,and the EU Polar Cluster, EU-PolarNet 2 and European Polar Board.
3 May 2023 – 2-4 pm CEST
27 March 2023 – 3 pm CEST – Fiona Turner
Multi-centennial projections of global mean sea-level rise and their application
Projections of sea-level rise are being extended to increasingly longer periods; the most recent IPCC report presented likely ranges to 2150 rather than 2100, reflecting the rising concern for long-term sea level changes. In this talk, we present projections of global mean sea-level rise to 2500 under low and medium emissions scenarios (Shared Socioeconomic Pathways SSP1-2.6 and SSP2-4.5), based on extending and combining model ensemble data from current literature. Land ice, thermal expansion and land water storage changes are combined to create sea level projections; we consider the effects emissions have on these long-time scales, and the differing uncertainties of the components contributing to sea-level rise. We discuss how these simple statistical extensions can be replace with more physically based methods to improve our projections, and consider their use for stakeholders and societal implications.
PROTECT webinar: 30 January – 3-5 pm CET
IPCC Projections & Planning for Sea Level Rise Risk
Speakers: Bob Kopp, Marjolijn Haasnoot, Gonéri Le Cozannet, , Robert Nicholls, Rosh Ranasinghe, Gaël Durand
This event will present key statements on sea-level rise from the Working Group I and II reports, including adaptation challenges. Authors of the report will present the latest projections, where to find and how to interpret data, and how practitioners can understand sea-level rise projections, including low-likelihood/high impact projections and their use in adaptation. The event will be concluded by the presentation of the policy brief of PROTECT.
PROTECT webinar: 12 December 2022 – 3 pm CET – Roderik van de Wal
High-end sea-level projections for practitioners
Recently a paper has been published addressing high-end sea-level projections for practitioners. It was a community effort combining scientists and practitioners and builds on a framework of discussing multiple lines of physical evidence. The approach is complementary to the IPCC AR6 report and provides physically plausible high-end scenarios. As the difficulty in formulating high-end is related to the cryospheric component it seems appropriate to have a discussion within Protect how we can improve future high-end projections. In the webinar we will discuss the limitations of the current set-up and explore possibilities for glaciers, greenland and Antarctica how to improve the projections. Furthermore we will consider whether we can address different time scales and scenarios and additional needs from practitioners.
3-7 October 2022 PROTECT Fall Meeting
5 July 2022 – 5 pm CEST – CalvingMIP meeting
4 July 2022 – 3-4 pm CEST – Benoît Meyssignac (CoCliCo)
Thermosteric sea level rise and emulation
30 May 2022 – 3-4 pm CEST – Gonéri Le Cozannet and Aimée Slangen
Sea-level rise: what is new in the IPCC 6th Assessment report?
2 March 2022 – 6-8 pm CET – Jim Jordan
The development of a Calving Model Intercomparison Project (MIP) to investigate the current implementation of calving within ice sheet models
PROTECT Spring meeting 8 April 2-5 pm CEST
7 February 2022 – 3 pm CET – Ricarda Winkelmann
Seal level rise – long term forcing, a webinar open to all
10 January 3 pm CET – Robert Nicholls
What do stakeholders want from sea-level rise scenarios: a consultative analysis
PROTECT Annual Fall meeting 30 September- 1O October
PROTECT Spring meeting on 7 May
EGU meeting 13-30 April 2021
vEGU21 will be a fully virtual meeting that will provide as full a representation of the experience that EGU members enjcoy at the annual meeting in Vienna as possible.
30 September – 1 October 2020 PROTECT kick-off meeting